HamKam II vs Fredrikstad II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
51.8%
Win probability
2.39
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
0.1%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
4.7%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
1.6%
6-3
0.4%
7-4
0.1%
+3
9.3%
2-0
4.5%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
3.3%
5-3
0.9%
6-4
0.2%
7-5
<0%
+2
15.2%
1-0
3.7%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
5.6%
4-3
2%
5-4
0.4%
6-5
0.1%
+1
19.6%
19.5%
Draw
0-0
1.6%
1-1
6.6%
2-2
7%
3-3
3.3%
4-4
0.9%
5-5
0.1%
6-6
<0%
0
19.5%
28.7%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
0-1
2.8%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
4.1%
3-4
1.4%
4-5
0.3%
5-6
0%
-1
14.5%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
5-7
0%
-2
8.3%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
3.8%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
2-8
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-32%
-28%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
35
3º
8º
7º
31
7º
13º
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
8º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
74 | 74 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
60 | 60 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
58 | 58 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
51 | 51 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
50 | 50 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
41 | 41 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
|
7º
|
35 | 35 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
|
8º
|
31 | 31 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
25 | 25 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
24 | 24 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
24 | 24 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
23 | 23 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
21 | 21 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
5 | 5 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
HamKam II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Oct. 2024 |
FBG
0 - 4
HAM
20%
18%
63%
|
33 | 16 | 17 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2024 |
HAM
4 - 0
MJO
63%
18%
20%
|
31 | 26 | 5 | +2 |
| 22 Sep. 2024 |
SIK
4 - 2
HAM
55%
20%
26%
|
33 | 36 | 3 | -2 |
| 14 Sep. 2024 |
HAM
1 - 0
FLO
24%
20%
56%
|
29 | 45 | 16 | +4 |
| 08 Sep. 2024 |
ILU
1 - 4
HAM
34%
21%
45%
|
28 | 22 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Fredrikstad II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Oct. 2024 |
FFK
0 - 2
HAR
30%
22%
48%
|
32 | 39 | 7 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2024 |
FYL
0 - 2
FFK
27%
20%
53%
|
31 | 23 | 8 | +1 |
| 21 Sep. 2024 |
FFK
1 - 5
HON
6%
14%
80%
|
31 | 55 | 24 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2024 |
IFC
1 - 2
FFK
23%
19%
59%
|
30 | 21 | 9 | +1 |
| 07 Sep. 2024 |
FFK
1 - 0
KON
30%
21%
49%
|
29 | 34 | 5 | +1 |