Hamilton Wanderers vs Wellington Phoenix II analysis

Hamilton Wanderers Wellington Phoenix II
52 ELO 58
10.3% Tilt 5.5%
10538º General ELO ranking 8364º
23º Country ELO ranking 14º
ELO win probability
40%
Hamilton Wanderers
23.7%
Draw
36.3%
Wellington Phoenix II

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
40%
Win probability
Hamilton Wanderers
1.61
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2%
3-0
3%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.4%
2-0
5.6%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.9%
1-0
7%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.9%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.7%
36.3%
Win probability
Wellington Phoenix II
1.53
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.9%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
10.7%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4.6%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Hamilton Wanderers
-2%
-23%
Wellington Phoenix II

ELO progression

Hamilton Wanderers
Wellington Phoenix II
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Hamilton Wanderers
Hamilton Wanderers
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
19 Feb. 2017
AUC
Auckland City
4 - 1
Hamilton Wanderers
HAW
80%
14%
7%
53 70 17 0
15 Feb. 2017
HAW
Hamilton Wanderers
0 - 5
Auckland City
AUC
21%
26%
53%
54 70 16 -1
12 Feb. 2017
TAS
Tasman United
1 - 0
Hamilton Wanderers
HAW
53%
23%
24%
54 57 3 0
05 Feb. 2017
HAW
Hamilton Wanderers
1 - 1
Canterbury United
CAN
28%
26%
47%
53 63 10 +1
29 Jan. 2017
HAW
Hamilton Wanderers
2 - 4
Team Wellington
TEA
19%
23%
59%
54 68 14 -1

Matches

Wellington Phoenix II
Wellington Phoenix II
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
04 Mar. 2017
WEL
Wellington Phoenix II
0 - 2
Waitakere United
WAI
38%
25%
38%
57 62 5 0
19 Feb. 2017
WEL
Wellington Phoenix II
2 - 7
Hawkes Bay United
HAW
32%
25%
43%
58 65 7 -1
12 Feb. 2017
AUC
Auckland City
2 - 0
Wellington Phoenix II
WEL
71%
18%
12%
59 70 11 -1
06 Feb. 2017
WEL
Wellington Phoenix II
3 - 0
Southern United
SOU
65%
19%
16%
58 51 7 +1
29 Jan. 2017
WEL
Wellington Phoenix II
1 - 4
Canterbury United
CAN
42%
25%
33%
58 62 4 0