Hamilton Wanderers vs Takapuna analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
88.2%
Win probability
3.64
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.4%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.5%
8-0
1%
9-1
0.3%
10-2
<0%
+8
1.3%
7-0
2.1%
8-1
0.7%
9-2
0.1%
+7
2.9%
6-0
4%
7-1
1.6%
8-2
0.3%
9-3
<0%
+6
5.9%
5-0
6.6%
6-1
3%
7-2
0.6%
8-3
0.1%
+5
10.3%
4-0
9.1%
5-1
5%
6-2
1.1%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
15.3%
3-0
10%
4-1
6.8%
5-2
1.9%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
18.9%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
18.7%
1-0
4.5%
2-1
6.2%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
14.2%
7.7%
Draw
0-0
1.2%
1-1
3.4%
2-2
2.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
7.7%
3.9%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
0-1
0.9%
1-2
1.3%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
2.9%
0-2
0.3%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
0.8%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
26
6º
11º
6º
12
8º
12º
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
11º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
54 | 60 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
49 | 56 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
39 | 43 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
36 | 36 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
29 | 33 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
|
6º
|
26 | 30 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
23 | 26 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
25 | 25 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
22 | 23 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
12 | 15 |
10º
|
0% | |
|
|
11º
|
12 | 15 |
11º
|
0% | |
|
12º
|
10 | 12 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Final Series
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hamilton Wanderers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Jul. 2023 |
HAW
2 - 2
NGA
75%
14%
11%
|
35 | 21 | 14 | 0 |
| 01 Jul. 2023 |
EAS
6 - 1
HAW
71%
18%
11%
|
36 | 47 | 11 | -1 |
| 24 Jun. 2023 |
HAW
1 - 1
MEL
61%
18%
21%
|
36 | 35 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Jun. 2023 |
WCR
0 - 4
HAW
13%
15%
72%
|
36 | 21 | 15 | 0 |
| 10 Jun. 2023 |
AFC
4 - 0
HAW
61%
20%
19%
|
37 | 44 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Takapuna
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Jul. 2023 |
TAK
0 - 3
WES
17%
18%
65%
|
22 | 34 | 12 | 0 |
| 17 Jun. 2023 |
TAK
0 - 1
MEL
21%
19%
61%
|
24 | 35 | 11 | -2 |
| 10 Jun. 2023 |
MEL
1 - 1
TAK
79%
13%
8%
|
23 | 35 | 12 | +1 |
| 05 Jun. 2023 |
TAK
2 - 0
WAU
71%
16%
13%
|
23 | 14 | 9 | 0 |
| 03 Jun. 2023 |
TAK
3 - 4
AFC
13%
17%
70%
|
24 | 45 | 21 | -1 |