Hamilton Wanderers vs Manurewa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
38.5%
Win probability
1.91
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.3%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
5.7%
2-0
3.8%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
11.4%
1-0
4%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
4.7%
4-3
1.5%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
17.9%
21.1%
Draw
0-0
2.1%
1-1
7.8%
2-2
7.3%
3-3
3%
4-4
0.7%
5-5
0.1%
6-6
<0%
0
21.1%
40.4%
Win probability
1.96
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
4.8%
3-4
1.5%
4-5
0.3%
5-6
0%
-1
18.3%
0-2
4%
1-3
5%
2-4
2.3%
3-5
0.6%
4-6
0.1%
-2
12%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
6.2%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0.1%
-4
2.6%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
-27%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
14
6º
12º
12º
19
3º
10º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
51 | 51 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
43 | 46 |
2º
|
78% | |
|
2º
|
44 | 44 |
3º
|
78% | |
|
3º
|
43 | 43 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
40 | 40 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
28 | 28 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
25 | 25 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
23 | 23 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
22 | 22 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
|
10º
|
19 | 19 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
18 | 18 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
|
12º
|
14 | 14 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Final Series
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hamilton Wanderers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jun. 2024 |
HAW
1 - 1
AFC
19%
20%
61%
|
20 | 38 | 18 | 0 |
| 22 Jun. 2024 |
MEL
2 - 1
HAW
70%
17%
13%
|
21 | 29 | 8 | -1 |
| 16 Jun. 2024 |
AUC
2 - 1
HAW
87%
9%
4%
|
21 | 53 | 32 | 0 |
| 08 Jun. 2024 |
HAW
2 - 1
WCR
58%
19%
23%
|
21 | 22 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 2024 |
SAR
1 - 6
HAW
21%
18%
61%
|
20 | 15 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Manurewa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Jul. 2024 |
MAN
3 - 2
ONE
18%
18%
64%
|
26 | 42 | 16 | 0 |
| 03 Jul. 2024 |
AUC
3 - 2
MAN
81%
12%
7%
|
26 | 53 | 27 | 0 |
| 29 Jun. 2024 |
MAN
1 - 2
WCR
68%
17%
15%
|
27 | 20 | 7 | -1 |
| 22 Jun. 2024 |
WES
4 - 2
MAN
76%
14%
10%
|
28 | 40 | 12 | -1 |
| 14 Jun. 2024 |
AFC
1 - 2
MAN
60%
19%
21%
|
27 | 36 | 9 | +1 |