Hamilton Wanderers vs Ellerslie analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
84.5%
Win probability
3.3
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.3%
8-0
0.6%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.8%
7-0
1.4%
8-1
0.5%
9-2
0.1%
+7
1.9%
6-0
3%
7-1
1.1%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
4.3%
5-0
5.4%
6-1
2.4%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
<0%
+5
8.3%
4-0
8.2%
5-1
4.3%
6-2
0.9%
7-3
0.1%
+4
13.6%
3-0
9.9%
4-1
6.5%
5-2
1.7%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
18.5%
2-0
9%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.1%
1-0
5.5%
2-1
7.2%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
16.7%
9.9%
Draw
0-0
1.7%
1-1
4.4%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
9.9%
5.5%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
0-1
1.3%
1-2
1.7%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
4%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.2%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hamilton Wanderers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Jun. 2023 |
HAW
3 - 2
WCR
89%
8%
4%
|
37 | 22 | 15 | 0 |
| 27 May. 2023 |
HAW
2 - 2
BIR
32%
23%
45%
|
36 | 45 | 9 | +1 |
| 20 May. 2023 |
BAO
1 - 3
HAW
21%
18%
61%
|
36 | 25 | 11 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2023 |
MUF
2 - 2
HAW
15%
16%
69%
|
36 | 22 | 14 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2023 |
HAW
3 - 3
MAN
88%
8%
4%
|
36 | 23 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Ellerslie
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 May. 2023 |
EAF
5 - 1
NOR
45%
22%
34%
|
9 | 7 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2022 |
PFC
3 - 2
EAF
62%
19%
19%
|
10 | 14 | 4 | -1 |
| 05 Jun. 2021 |
AUC
7 - 0
EAF
91%
6%
2%
|
10 | 67 | 57 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2021 |
GFC
0 - 4
EAF
46%
22%
32%
|
8 | 9 | 1 | +2 |
| 01 Jun. 2019 |
WAI
2 - 1
EAF
86%
10%
4%
|
8 | 58 | 50 | 0 |