Hamilton Wanderers vs Eastern Suburbs analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
16.3%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.3%
2-0
1.9%
3-1
1.6%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
4.2%
1-0
3.5%
2-1
4.5%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
0.1%
+1
10.4%
18.5%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
18.5%
65.2%
Win probability
2.35
Expected goals
0-1
7.5%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
4.1%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.3%
0-2
8.8%
1-3
7.6%
2-4
2.4%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
19.2%
0-3
6.9%
1-4
4.4%
2-5
1.1%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
12.6%
0-4
4%
1-5
2.1%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0.1%
-4
6.6%
0-5
1.9%
1-6
0.8%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
2.9%
0-6
0.7%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0%
-6
1.1%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
-15%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
14
6º
12º
12º
44
2º
11º
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
2º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
51 | 51 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
43 | 46 |
2º
|
78% | |
|
|
2º
|
44 | 44 |
3º
|
78% | |
|
3º
|
43 | 43 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
40 | 40 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
28 | 28 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
25 | 25 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
23 | 23 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
22 | 22 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
19 | 19 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
18 | 18 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
|
12º
|
14 | 14 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Final Series
|
0% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hamilton Wanderers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Aug. 2024 |
HAW
2 - 0
TCU
19%
17%
64%
|
21 | 36 | 15 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2024 |
AUC
3 - 1
HAW
89%
8%
3%
|
21 | 52 | 31 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2024 |
BIR
0 - 0
HAW
87%
9%
4%
|
21 | 42 | 21 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2024 |
HAW
2 - 2
ECB
40%
21%
39%
|
21 | 27 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 2024 |
BAO
3 - 3
HAW
68%
17%
15%
|
21 | 28 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Eastern Suburbs
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Aug. 2024 |
EAS
1 - 2
WES
56%
22%
22%
|
44 | 39 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2024 |
TCU
1 - 5
EAS
44%
24%
32%
|
43 | 39 | 4 | +1 |
| 07 Aug. 2024 |
MAN
0 - 3
EAS
19%
19%
62%
|
43 | 26 | 17 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2024 |
EAS
2 - 0
WCR
81%
12%
7%
|
43 | 20 | 23 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 2024 |
EAS
1 - 0
MEL
80%
13%
7%
|
44 | 26 | 18 | -1 |