Hamilton Thunder vs SC Toronto analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
48.3%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.8%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.2%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.7%
1-0
9%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.4%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.9%
27.9%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
16.3%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.8%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hamilton Thunder
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jul. 2004 |
WIN
1 - 1
HAM
38%
26%
36%
|
69 | 63 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Jul. 2004 |
HAM
2 - 2
NOR
75%
16%
9%
|
69 | 58 | 11 | 0 |
| 19 Jul. 2004 |
HAM
7 - 0
DUR
64%
19%
17%
|
69 | 60 | 9 | 0 |
| 16 Jul. 2004 |
SCT
2 - 1
HAM
53%
24%
23%
|
69 | 69 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 Jul. 2004 |
HAM
4 - 1
BRS
57%
22%
20%
|
68 | 65 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
SC Toronto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jul. 2004 |
SCT
2 - 0
SHO
68%
19%
14%
|
69 | 61 | 8 | 0 |
| 23 Jul. 2004 |
LON
0 - 0
SCT
17%
20%
63%
|
69 | 51 | 18 | 0 |
| 18 Jul. 2004 |
BRA
2 - 2
SCT
44%
25%
31%
|
69 | 68 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Jul. 2004 |
SCT
2 - 1
HAM
53%
24%
23%
|
69 | 69 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Jul. 2004 |
BRS
0 - 2
SCT
37%
25%
39%
|
68 | 65 | 3 | +1 |