Hamilton Parish vs Devonshire Colts analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
46.4%
Win probability
2.13
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
3.5%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
7.7%
2-0
4.5%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
2.7%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
13.8%
1-0
4.3%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
5.1%
4-3
1.6%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.4%
20.7%
Draw
0-0
2%
1-1
7.6%
2-2
7.2%
3-3
3%
4-4
0.7%
5-5
0.1%
6-6
<0%
0
20.7%
32.9%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
4.3%
3-4
1.3%
4-5
0.3%
5-6
0%
-1
16.2%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
4%
2-4
1.9%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
9.7%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
4.5%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0.1%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
2-8
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-56%
+33%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
9
9º
10º
10º
27
2º
6º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
37 | 38 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
33 | 34 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
29 | 32 |
3º
|
57% | |
|
7º
|
25 | 31 |
4º
|
41.5% | |
|
5º
|
27 | 30 |
5º
|
38.5% | |
|
|
4º
|
27 | 27 |
6º
|
52.5% | |
|
6º
|
26 | 26 |
7º
|
52.5% | |
|
8º
|
14 | 17 |
8º
|
97% | |
|
9º
|
11 | 11 |
9º
|
74.5% | |
|
|
10º
|
9 | 10 |
10º
|
77.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Caribbean Club Championship
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hamilton Parish
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Dec. 2024 |
HAM
4 - 1
YMS
52%
21%
27%
|
26 | 25 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2024 |
STG
2 - 2
HAM
59%
20%
22%
|
26 | 30 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2024 |
WOL
1 - 3
HAM
58%
20%
22%
|
24 | 27 | 3 | +2 |
| 24 Nov. 2024 |
HAM
0 - 5
DEV
41%
22%
37%
|
26 | 28 | 2 | -2 |
| 03 Nov. 2024 |
HAM
2 - 2
HOR
37%
21%
43%
|
25 | 28 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Devonshire Colts
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Dec. 2024 |
DEV
2 - 2
PAG
42%
22%
36%
|
26 | 28 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2024 |
NOR
3 - 0
DEV
49%
22%
29%
|
27 | 30 | 3 | -1 |
| 01 Dec. 2024 |
STG
4 - 3
DEV
46%
21%
33%
|
28 | 29 | 1 | -1 |
| 23 Nov. 2024 |
DEV
4 - 0
YMS
50%
21%
29%
|
27 | 25 | 2 | +1 |
| 03 Nov. 2024 |
DEV
1 - 0
PHC
28%
21%
51%
|
25 | 31 | 6 | +2 |