Hamilton Academical vs Dumbarton analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
61.4%
Win probability
2.14
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.2%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.4%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.2%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.5%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23%
20.2%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.2%
18.4%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
5%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
11.7%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.8%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hamilton Academical
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jul. 2025 |
DUN
2 - 1
HAM
41%
25%
34%
|
67 | 69 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Jul. 2025 |
HAM
0 - 4
HOM
27%
25%
48%
|
68 | 81 | 13 | -1 |
| 12 Jul. 2025 |
STI
0 - 2
HAM
17%
20%
63%
|
68 | 52 | 16 | 0 |
| 09 Jul. 2025 |
BEA
3 - 1
HAM
5%
10%
85%
|
68 | 10 | 58 | 0 |
| 02 May. 2025 |
FAL
3 - 1
HAM
73%
18%
9%
|
68 | 84 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
Dumbarton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jul. 2025 |
HOM
4 - 0
DUM
85%
11%
5%
|
56 | 82 | 26 | 0 |
| 19 Jul. 2025 |
DUM
0 - 4
DUN
25%
24%
51%
|
56 | 68 | 12 | 0 |
| 15 Jul. 2025 |
DUM
1 - 0
STI
58%
21%
21%
|
56 | 51 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Jun. 2025 |
DUM
0 - 4
STM
11%
19%
70%
|
56 | 81 | 25 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2025 |
STE
2 - 1
DUM
47%
25%
28%
|
57 | 60 | 3 | -1 |