Hamburger SV U19 vs Holstein Kiel U19 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
83.4%
Win probability
3.19
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.5%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.7%
7-0
1.2%
8-1
0.4%
9-2
0.1%
+7
1.7%
6-0
2.7%
7-1
1%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
3.9%
5-0
5.1%
6-1
2.2%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
<0%
+5
7.7%
4-0
8%
5-1
4.1%
6-2
0.9%
7-3
0.1%
+4
13.1%
3-0
10%
4-1
6.4%
5-2
1.6%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
18.3%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
8%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.5%
1-0
5.9%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
17.4%
10.6%
Draw
0-0
1.8%
1-1
4.7%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
10.6%
6%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
0-1
1.5%
1-2
1.9%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
4.3%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.3%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
-11%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
22
2º
4º
3º
10
6º
8º
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
8º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
31 | 31 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
26 | 27 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
22 | 23 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
19 | 19 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
18 | 18 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
15 | 15 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
12 | 12 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
|
8º
|
10 | 10 |
8º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hamburger SV U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Sep. 2024 |
HAN
1 - 1
HAM
23%
20%
57%
|
30 | 21 | 9 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2024 |
PAU
2 - 4
HAM
26%
21%
53%
|
28 | 24 | 4 | +2 |
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
WOL
3 - 3
HAM
70%
16%
14%
|
28 | 36 | 8 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2024 |
HAM
3 - 2
BAK
45%
21%
34%
|
27 | 29 | 2 | +1 |
| 09 Aug. 2024 |
FCM
2 - 4
HAM
19%
20%
61%
|
27 | 19 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Holstein Kiel U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Sep. 2024 |
PAU
3 - 2
HOL
65%
18%
16%
|
17 | 23 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2024 |
HOL
2 - 1
HAN
21%
19%
60%
|
16 | 22 | 6 | +1 |
| 18 Aug. 2024 |
FCM
9 - 0
HOL
47%
22%
32%
|
17 | 18 | 1 | -1 |
| 14 Aug. 2024 |
UBE
1 - 1
HOL
79%
13%
8%
|
17 | 27 | 10 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2024 |
HOL
1 - 3
WOL
12%
17%
71%
|
18 | 35 | 17 | -1 |