Hamburger SV U19 vs 1. FC Magdeburg U19 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
79.6%
Win probability
2.99
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.9%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.2%
6-0
2.1%
7-1
0.8%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
3%
5-0
4.2%
6-1
1.8%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
6.4%
4-0
6.9%
5-1
3.7%
6-2
0.8%
7-3
0.1%
+4
11.5%
3-0
9.3%
4-1
6.1%
5-2
1.6%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
17.3%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
2.7%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.7%
1-0
6.2%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18.9%
12.4%
Draw
0-0
2.1%
1-1
5.5%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
12.4%
7.9%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
1.8%
1-2
2.4%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
5.6%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.8%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
+84%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
22
2º
4º
3º
18
4º
8º
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
31 | 31 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
26 | 27 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
22 | 23 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
19 | 19 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
|
5º
|
18 | 18 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
15 | 15 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
12 | 12 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
10 | 10 |
8º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hamburger SV U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Oct. 2024 |
HAM
2 - 4
HAN
77%
14%
10%
|
29 | 20 | 9 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2024 |
HAM
3 - 0
PAU
63%
18%
19%
|
29 | 24 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2024 |
UBE
4 - 1
HAM
41%
22%
37%
|
30 | 28 | 2 | -1 |
| 15 Sep. 2024 |
HAM
5 - 1
HOL
84%
11%
6%
|
30 | 17 | 13 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2024 |
HAN
1 - 1
HAM
23%
20%
57%
|
30 | 21 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
1. FC Magdeburg U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Sep. 2024 |
FCM
2 - 3
BAK
29%
21%
50%
|
19 | 26 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2024 |
FCM
4 - 1
HAN
33%
22%
45%
|
18 | 21 | 3 | +1 |
| 14 Sep. 2024 |
PAU
3 - 1
FCM
61%
20%
20%
|
19 | 22 | 3 | -1 |
| 25 Aug. 2024 |
UBE
3 - 1
FCM
74%
15%
11%
|
19 | 27 | 8 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2024 |
FCM
9 - 0
HOL
47%
22%
32%
|
18 | 17 | 1 | +1 |