Hamburger SV II vs Rot-Weiss Essen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
24%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.7%
2-0
3.9%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.1%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
5.8%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.7%
26.3%
Draw
0-0
8.9%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.3%
49.7%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
0-1
13.1%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
24.7%
0-2
9.7%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
15.1%
0-3
4.8%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
6.7%
0-4
1.8%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.3%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hamburger SV II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Apr. 2004 |
HOL
2 - 0
HAM
53%
24%
23%
|
52 | 54 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2004 |
HAM
0 - 1
WUP
39%
27%
35%
|
53 | 59 | 6 | -1 |
| 03 Apr. 2004 |
PRE
1 - 0
HAM
54%
23%
23%
|
54 | 54 | 0 | -1 |
| 20 Mar. 2004 |
SGD
1 - 1
HAM
57%
24%
19%
|
53 | 61 | 8 | +1 |
| 14 Mar. 2004 |
HAM
1 - 0
STP
26%
24%
50%
|
52 | 62 | 10 | +1 |
Matches
Rot-Weiss Essen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Apr. 2004 |
ROT
5 - 2
WUP
60%
22%
18%
|
66 | 59 | 7 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2004 |
SGD
0 - 0
ROT
36%
28%
36%
|
66 | 61 | 5 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2004 |
ROT
5 - 1
VFR
73%
18%
10%
|
66 | 39 | 27 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2004 |
ROT
1 - 0
STP
53%
23%
23%
|
65 | 60 | 5 | +1 |
| 19 Mar. 2004 |
WAT
0 - 0
ROT
39%
26%
35%
|
65 | 58 | 7 | 0 |