Hamburger SV II vs Rot-Weiss Erfurt analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
35.9%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.7%
2-0
6.4%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.2%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.7%
27.5%
Draw
0-0
8.9%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.5%
36.6%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
0-1
10.8%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
20.9%
0-2
6.6%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.4%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.8%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
+23%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hamburger SV II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Sep. 2007 |
BAB
1 - 3
HAM
30%
26%
44%
|
58 | 49 | 9 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2007 |
HAM
1 - 1
EBT
47%
27%
25%
|
58 | 54 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2007 |
WOL
2 - 2
HAM
32%
26%
43%
|
58 | 50 | 8 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2007 |
HAM
0 - 0
BSV
34%
27%
39%
|
58 | 61 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2007 |
BOR
3 - 1
HAM
35%
27%
38%
|
59 | 55 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Rot-Weiss Erfurt
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Sep. 2007 |
ERF
0 - 1
ENE
69%
20%
11%
|
61 | 42 | 19 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2007 |
WER
1 - 2
ERF
46%
25%
29%
|
60 | 59 | 1 | +1 |
| 22 Sep. 2007 |
ERF
5 - 1
WUP
35%
27%
38%
|
59 | 63 | 4 | +1 |
| 15 Sep. 2007 |
ROT
3 - 2
ERF
52%
25%
22%
|
59 | 63 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2007 |
ERF
2 - 0
FCU
53%
26%
21%
|
58 | 54 | 4 | +1 |