Hamburger SV II vs Paderborn analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
36.1%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.9%
2-0
6.2%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.4%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.3%
26.5%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.5%
37.4%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
0-1
9.8%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20.7%
0-2
6.4%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.8%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.2%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hamburger SV II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Aug. 2004 |
FCU
1 - 2
HAM
60%
22%
18%
|
58 | 64 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2004 |
HAM
1 - 0
STP
43%
25%
32%
|
57 | 58 | 1 | +1 |
| 11 Aug. 2004 |
OSN
1 - 1
HAM
54%
24%
22%
|
57 | 61 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Aug. 2004 |
HAM
2 - 0
DIE
43%
26%
32%
|
56 | 56 | 0 | +1 |
| 31 Jul. 2004 |
HOL
0 - 2
HAM
51%
24%
25%
|
55 | 54 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Paderborn
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Aug. 2004 |
PAD
2 - 1
OSN
56%
23%
22%
|
64 | 63 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2004 |
DIE
0 - 0
PAD
36%
26%
38%
|
64 | 58 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2004 |
PAD
4 - 2
HSV
21%
24%
55%
|
62 | 83 | 21 | +2 |
| 14 Aug. 2004 |
PAD
5 - 1
HOL
63%
20%
17%
|
61 | 55 | 6 | +1 |
| 11 Aug. 2004 |
WUP
1 - 1
PAD
39%
26%
35%
|
61 | 56 | 5 | 0 |