Hamburger SV II vs Holstein Kiel analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
15.9%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.9%
2-0
2.3%
3-1
1.1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.7%
1-0
5.7%
2-1
4.2%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
11.1%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.2%
61.9%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
0-1
13%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.4%
0-2
12%
1-3
6%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
19.2%
0-3
7.4%
1-4
2.7%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
10.5%
0-4
3.4%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.1%
-4
4.5%
0-5
1.3%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.6%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+14%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hamburger SV II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 May. 2013 |
HAM
2 - 1
HAV
17%
22%
61%
|
40 | 57 | 17 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2013 |
GOS
1 - 2
HAM
50%
24%
27%
|
39 | 40 | 1 | +1 |
| 27 Apr. 2013 |
HAM
1 - 0
WOL
17%
23%
61%
|
37 | 57 | 20 | +2 |
| 17 Apr. 2013 |
VFB
0 - 1
HAM
57%
22%
21%
|
36 | 41 | 5 | +1 |
| 13 Apr. 2013 |
HAM
1 - 2
STP
45%
24%
32%
|
37 | 37 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Holstein Kiel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Apr. 2013 |
MEP
0 - 3
HOL
17%
23%
60%
|
63 | 41 | 22 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2013 |
HOL
1 - 1
VFB
79%
14%
7%
|
63 | 39 | 24 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2013 |
HOL
1 - 1
WER
74%
17%
10%
|
63 | 49 | 14 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2013 |
STP
2 - 4
HOL
19%
23%
59%
|
63 | 38 | 25 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2013 |
HOL
2 - 1
GOS
78%
15%
7%
|
63 | 43 | 20 | 0 |