Hamburger SV II vs Holstein Kiel analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
37.2%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.4%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.5%
2-0
5.9%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.9%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.9%
25.1%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25.1%
37.7%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
20.1%
0-2
5.9%
1-3
4%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
11.1%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.6%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hamburger SV II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep. 2003 |
HAM
1 - 1
PRE
41%
26%
33%
|
49 | 53 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2003 |
WUP
2 - 0
HAM
57%
22%
21%
|
50 | 53 | 3 | -1 |
| 07 Sep. 2003 |
HAM
1 - 1
SGD
40%
28%
32%
|
50 | 57 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2003 |
STP
3 - 0
HAM
71%
18%
11%
|
50 | 65 | 15 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2003 |
HAM
2 - 3
WAT
21%
22%
57%
|
51 | 63 | 12 | -1 |
Matches
Holstein Kiel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep. 2003 |
HOL
1 - 1
WUP
48%
25%
28%
|
52 | 53 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2003 |
SGD
3 - 0
HOL
49%
25%
26%
|
53 | 58 | 5 | -1 |
| 06 Sep. 2003 |
HOL
0 - 5
STP
27%
24%
50%
|
54 | 66 | 12 | -1 |
| 30 Aug. 2003 |
HOL
1 - 3
LEV
13%
23%
65%
|
54 | 86 | 32 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2003 |
WAT
4 - 2
HOL
63%
20%
17%
|
55 | 63 | 8 | -1 |