Hamburger SV II vs Holstein Kiel analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
45.4%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.3%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.4%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
5%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.7%
1-0
9%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.4%
30.2%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
17.4%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.5%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hamburger SV II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Sep. 2002 |
HAM
4 - 3
DIE
39%
26%
35%
|
45 | 50 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2002 |
VER
2 - 0
HAM
64%
20%
16%
|
46 | 57 | 11 | -1 |
| 13 Sep. 2002 |
HAM
0 - 4
ROT
27%
26%
47%
|
47 | 62 | 15 | -1 |
| 07 Sep. 2002 |
WAT
0 - 2
HAM
73%
16%
11%
|
45 | 63 | 18 | +2 |
| 04 Sep. 2002 |
HAM
0 - 0
SGD
32%
27%
40%
|
44 | 58 | 14 | +1 |
Matches
Holstein Kiel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Sep. 2002 |
HOL
1 - 1
VER
32%
25%
43%
|
48 | 57 | 9 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2002 |
ROT
4 - 0
HOL
66%
20%
14%
|
48 | 63 | 15 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2002 |
HOL
3 - 4
WAT
28%
25%
47%
|
49 | 62 | 13 | -1 |
| 08 Sep. 2002 |
PRE
6 - 4
HOL
63%
20%
16%
|
49 | 56 | 7 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2002 |
HOL
1 - 1
HER
12%
21%
67%
|
49 | 88 | 39 | 0 |