Hamburger SV II vs Erzgebirge Aue analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
34%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.4%
2-0
6%
3-1
3%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.6%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.9%
27.3%
Draw
0-0
8.7%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.3%
38.6%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
0-1
11%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
21.6%
0-2
7%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.2%
0-3
3%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.2%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hamburger SV II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 May. 2003 |
BOR
2 - 2
HAM
66%
20%
15%
|
49 | 60 | 11 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2003 |
HAM
3 - 1
DRE
48%
25%
27%
|
48 | 49 | 1 | +1 |
| 29 Apr. 2003 |
HOL
1 - 1
HAM
62%
21%
17%
|
48 | 57 | 9 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2003 |
DIE
1 - 0
HAM
57%
23%
21%
|
48 | 54 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2003 |
HAM
3 - 1
VER
30%
25%
45%
|
47 | 56 | 9 | +1 |
Matches
Erzgebirge Aue
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 May. 2003 |
ERZ
3 - 0
VER
56%
23%
21%
|
61 | 53 | 8 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2003 |
ROT
1 - 0
ERZ
54%
24%
23%
|
62 | 65 | 3 | -1 |
| 26 Apr. 2003 |
ERZ
3 - 2
WAT
33%
25%
42%
|
61 | 66 | 5 | +1 |
| 19 Apr. 2003 |
PRE
0 - 2
ERZ
42%
25%
33%
|
60 | 54 | 6 | +1 |
| 12 Apr. 2003 |
ERZ
3 - 0
CHE
53%
25%
22%
|
60 | 56 | 4 | 0 |