Hamburger SV II vs Chemnitzer analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
35.5%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.8%
2-0
6.1%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.2%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.2%
26.7%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.7%
37.8%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
0-1
10.1%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20.9%
0-2
6.6%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.2%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
+23%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hamburger SV II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Oct. 2003 |
ROT
4 - 0
HAM
71%
18%
11%
|
49 | 64 | 15 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2003 |
HAM
1 - 1
HOL
37%
25%
38%
|
49 | 52 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2003 |
HAM
1 - 1
PRE
41%
26%
33%
|
49 | 53 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2003 |
WUP
2 - 0
HAM
57%
22%
21%
|
50 | 53 | 3 | -1 |
| 07 Sep. 2003 |
HAM
1 - 1
SGD
40%
28%
32%
|
50 | 57 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Chemnitzer
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Oct. 2003 |
CHE
1 - 2
WUP
50%
25%
25%
|
57 | 55 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2003 |
SGD
2 - 0
CHE
44%
26%
30%
|
58 | 58 | 0 | -1 |
| 20 Sep. 2003 |
CHE
1 - 2
STP
31%
25%
44%
|
59 | 65 | 6 | -1 |
| 12 Sep. 2003 |
WAT
1 - 2
CHE
60%
21%
19%
|
58 | 63 | 5 | +1 |
| 07 Sep. 2003 |
CHE
0 - 2
EBT
35%
27%
38%
|
59 | 67 | 8 | -1 |