Hamburger SV II vs BSV Kickers Emden analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
80.9%
Win probability
3.01
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.5%
7-0
1%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.3%
6-0
2.2%
7-1
0.8%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
3.2%
5-0
4.4%
6-1
1.8%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
6.7%
4-0
7.4%
5-1
3.7%
6-2
0.8%
7-3
0.1%
+4
11.9%
3-0
9.8%
4-1
6.1%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
17.6%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.8%
1-0
6.5%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18.7%
11.9%
Draw
0-0
2.2%
1-1
5.4%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
11.9%
7.1%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
0-1
1.8%
1-2
2.2%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
5.1%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.6%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+2%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
75
1º
11º
2º
15
15º
18º
19º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
19º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
76 | 76 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
75 | 75 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
67 | 67 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
61 | 61 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
56 | 56 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
52 | 55 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
48 | 51 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
51 | 51 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
50 | 50 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
48 | 48 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
47 | 47 |
11º
|
0% | |
|
12º
|
47 | 47 |
12º
|
0% | |
|
13º
|
47 | 47 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
45 | 45 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
43 | 43 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
41 | 41 |
16º
|
100% | |
|
17º
|
40 | 40 |
17º
|
100% | |
|
18º
|
32 | 32 |
18º
|
100% | |
|
|
19º
|
15 | 15 |
19º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hamburger SV II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Aug. 2022 |
DRO
4 - 1
HAM
37%
26%
37%
|
46 | 46 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2022 |
EIN
3 - 3
HAM
42%
25%
33%
|
47 | 45 | 2 | -1 |
| 13 Aug. 2022 |
HAM
2 - 2
JED
54%
22%
24%
|
47 | 45 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2022 |
HAV
1 - 2
HAM
48%
24%
28%
|
46 | 47 | 1 | +1 |
| 31 Jul. 2022 |
HAM
4 - 0
HOL
43%
24%
33%
|
44 | 47 | 3 | +2 |
Matches
BSV Kickers Emden
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Aug. 2022 |
BSV
0 - 3
EIN
17%
21%
62%
|
34 | 45 | 11 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2022 |
JED
4 - 0
BSV
71%
18%
11%
|
35 | 45 | 10 | -1 |
| 13 Aug. 2022 |
BSV
1 - 3
HAV
22%
23%
55%
|
36 | 46 | 10 | -1 |
| 05 Aug. 2022 |
LUB
3 - 0
BSV
75%
17%
8%
|
37 | 52 | 15 | -1 |
| 30 Jul. 2022 |
BSV
0 - 2
WEI
18%
22%
60%
|
39 | 51 | 12 | -2 |