Hamburger SV III vs Union Tornesch analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
54.3%
Win probability
2.34
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
0.1%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.1%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
4.9%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.8%
2-0
5.3%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
3.1%
5-3
0.8%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
16%
1-0
4.5%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
5.3%
4-3
1.7%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.4%
19.6%
Draw
0-0
1.9%
1-1
7.3%
2-2
6.8%
3-3
2.8%
4-4
0.7%
5-5
0.1%
6-6
<0%
0
19.6%
26.1%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
0-1
3.1%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
13.9%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0.1%
-2
7.5%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-70%
-2%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
17º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
31
10º
16º
17º
40
9º
16º
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
13º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
79 | 82 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
74 | 77 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
70 | 73 |
3º
|
99% | |
|
5º
|
67 | 70 |
4º
|
65% | |
|
4º
|
68 | 69 |
5º
|
66% | |
|
6º
|
63 | 63 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
54 | 57 |
7º
|
59.5% | |
|
8º
|
54 | 54 |
8º
|
59.5% | |
|
10º
|
47 | 50 |
9º
|
78% | |
|
9º
|
48 | 48 |
10º
|
78% | |
|
11º
|
43 | 46 |
11º
|
90% | |
|
12º
|
41 | 41 |
12º
|
84.5% | |
|
|
13º
|
40 | 40 |
13º
|
92.5% | |
|
14º
|
39 | 39 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
35 | 35 |
15º
|
78.5% | |
|
16º
|
33 | 33 |
16º
|
68.5% | |
|
|
17º
|
31 | 31 |
17º
|
90% | |
|
19º
|
23 | 24 |
18º
|
54.5% | |
|
18º
|
23 | 23 |
19º
|
54.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hamburger SV III
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Mar. 2023 |
HAM
1 - 3
NIE
21%
20%
58%
|
22 | 36 | 14 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2023 |
PAL
5 - 2
HAM
69%
16%
15%
|
24 | 33 | 9 | -2 |
| 19 Mar. 2023 |
SAS
4 - 1
HAM
84%
10%
6%
|
24 | 40 | 16 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2023 |
HAM
2 - 0
HAM
78%
13%
9%
|
24 | 19 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2023 |
OSD
3 - 2
HAM
36%
21%
43%
|
24 | 22 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Union Tornesch
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Apr. 2023 |
UTO
0 - 2
HEB
34%
22%
43%
|
24 | 28 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2023 |
NIE
3 - 0
UTO
71%
16%
12%
|
24 | 36 | 12 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2023 |
UTO
1 - 0
SUD
22%
20%
58%
|
23 | 33 | 10 | +1 |
| 05 Mar. 2023 |
PAL
5 - 0
UTO
70%
16%
14%
|
25 | 33 | 8 | -2 |
| 26 Feb. 2023 |
UTO
2 - 1
RUG
39%
22%
39%
|
23 | 27 | 4 | +2 |