Hamburger SV III vs Süderelbe analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
37.6%
Win probability
1.9
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.2%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
5.5%
2-0
3.7%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
11.1%
1-0
3.9%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
4.6%
4-3
1.5%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
17.6%
21%
Draw
0-0
2%
1-1
7.7%
2-2
7.3%
3-3
3.1%
4-4
0.7%
5-5
0.1%
6-6
<0%
0
21%
41.4%
Win probability
1.99
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
4.9%
3-4
1.5%
4-5
0.3%
5-6
0%
-1
18.5%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
5.1%
2-4
2.4%
3-5
0.6%
4-6
0.1%
5-7
0%
-2
12.3%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
2.6%
2-5
1%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
6.4%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0.1%
-4
2.7%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-57%
+41%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
17º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
31
10º
16º
17º
54
6º
17º
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
7º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
79 | 82 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
74 | 77 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
70 | 73 |
3º
|
99% | |
|
5º
|
67 | 70 |
4º
|
65% | |
|
4º
|
68 | 69 |
5º
|
66% | |
|
6º
|
63 | 63 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
|
7º
|
54 | 57 |
7º
|
59.5% | |
|
8º
|
54 | 54 |
8º
|
59.5% | |
|
10º
|
47 | 50 |
9º
|
78% | |
|
9º
|
48 | 48 |
10º
|
78% | |
|
11º
|
43 | 46 |
11º
|
90% | |
|
12º
|
41 | 41 |
12º
|
84.5% | |
|
13º
|
40 | 40 |
13º
|
92.5% | |
|
14º
|
39 | 39 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
35 | 35 |
15º
|
78.5% | |
|
16º
|
33 | 33 |
16º
|
68.5% | |
|
|
17º
|
31 | 31 |
17º
|
90% | |
|
19º
|
23 | 24 |
18º
|
54.5% | |
|
18º
|
23 | 23 |
19º
|
54.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hamburger SV III
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Dec. 2022 |
RUG
2 - 2
HAM
45%
21%
34%
|
26 | 26 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2022 |
HAM
3 - 1
VHG
22%
19%
59%
|
23 | 36 | 13 | +3 |
| 18 Nov. 2022 |
WAN
3 - 0
HAM
58%
20%
22%
|
24 | 32 | 8 | -1 |
| 11 Nov. 2022 |
EIM
2 - 1
HAM
83%
11%
6%
|
24 | 45 | 21 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2022 |
DAS
4 - 0
HAM
84%
11%
6%
|
24 | 46 | 22 | 0 |
Matches
Süderelbe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Dec. 2022 |
SUD
2 - 1
NIE
39%
22%
40%
|
30 | 36 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2022 |
PAL
0 - 4
SUD
69%
17%
14%
|
28 | 38 | 10 | +2 |
| 18 Nov. 2022 |
SUD
0 - 2
SAS
27%
21%
53%
|
30 | 40 | 10 | -2 |
| 11 Nov. 2022 |
SUD
2 - 2
WIL
64%
17%
19%
|
30 | 28 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2022 |
HAM
1 - 5
SUD
27%
21%
51%
|
28 | 22 | 6 | +2 |