Hamburger SV III vs Türkiye Wilhelmsburg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
35.9%
Win probability
1.96
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
0.1%
+4
2.2%
3-0
2%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
5.3%
2-0
3.1%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
10.6%
1-0
3.2%
2-1
6.7%
3-2
4.8%
4-3
1.7%
5-4
0.4%
6-5
0.1%
+1
16.7%
20.2%
Draw
0-0
1.6%
1-1
6.8%
2-2
7.3%
3-3
3.4%
4-4
0.9%
5-5
0.2%
6-6
<0%
0
20.2%
43.8%
Win probability
2.17
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
5.3%
3-4
1.9%
4-5
0.4%
5-6
0.1%
-1
18.5%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
5.4%
2-4
2.9%
3-5
0.8%
4-6
0.1%
5-7
0%
-2
13%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
2.9%
2-5
1.2%
3-6
0.3%
4-7
0%
-3
7.2%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0.1%
4-8
0%
-4
3.3%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
1.3%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-37%
-25%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
18º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
12
16º
18º
18º
36
6º
15º
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
13º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
2º
|
82 | 82 |
1º
|
0% | |
|
1º
|
82 | 82 |
2º
|
0% | |
|
3º
|
70 | 70 |
3º
|
0% | |
|
4º
|
70 | 70 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
5º
|
63 | 63 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
61 | 61 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
51 | 51 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
50 | 50 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
46 | 46 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
44 | 44 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
41 | 41 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
40 | 40 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
|
13º
|
36 | 36 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
35 | 35 |
14º
|
0% | |
|
15º
|
35 | 35 |
15º
|
0% | |
|
16º
|
29 | 29 |
16º
|
100% | |
|
17º
|
25 | 25 |
17º
|
100% | |
|
|
18º
|
12 | 12 |
18º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hamburger SV III
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Oct. 2024 |
HAM
2 - 4
ETH
23%
19%
58%
|
23 | 46 | 23 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2024 |
VHG
4 - 1
HAM
85%
9%
6%
|
24 | 42 | 18 | -1 |
| 13 Oct. 2024 |
HAL
3 - 3
HAM
71%
16%
13%
|
23 | 36 | 13 | +1 |
| 04 Oct. 2024 |
HAM
0 - 4
DAS
7%
14%
79%
|
23 | 56 | 33 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2024 |
WAN
3 - 0
HAM
47%
20%
33%
|
24 | 25 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Türkiye Wilhelmsburg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Oct. 2024 |
HAL
4 - 1
WIL
51%
21%
28%
|
32 | 34 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2024 |
DAS
6 - 2
WIL
77%
14%
9%
|
33 | 56 | 23 | -1 |
| 11 Oct. 2024 |
WAN
2 - 1
WIL
38%
21%
41%
|
34 | 27 | 7 | -1 |
| 05 Oct. 2024 |
WIL
0 - 0
PAL
33%
21%
46%
|
33 | 44 | 11 | +1 |
| 27 Sep. 2024 |
SUD
3 - 1
WIL
57%
18%
25%
|
34 | 33 | 1 | -1 |