Hamburger SV III vs Alsterbruder analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
69.1%
Win probability
3.09
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
0.1%
10-3
<0%
+7
0.9%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.8%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
2.3%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
1.8%
7-2
0.6%
8-3
0.1%
9-4
<0%
+5
4.9%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
3.6%
6-2
1.4%
7-3
0.3%
8-4
<0%
+4
9.1%
3-0
5%
4-1
5.8%
5-2
2.7%
6-3
0.7%
7-4
0.1%
8-5
<0%
+3
14.2%
2-0
4.8%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
4.3%
5-3
1.3%
6-4
0.3%
7-5
<0%
+2
18.3%
1-0
3.1%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
5.6%
4-3
2.2%
5-4
0.5%
6-5
0.1%
+1
18.8%
15%
Draw
0-0
1%
1-1
4.7%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
2.8%
4-4
0.8%
5-5
0.2%
6-6
<0%
0
15%
15.9%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
0-1
1.5%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
9.2%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0.1%
-2
4.4%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-37%
+7%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
18º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
12
16º
18º
18º
25
8º
17º
17º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
17º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
2º
|
82 | 82 |
1º
|
0% | |
|
1º
|
82 | 82 |
2º
|
0% | |
|
3º
|
70 | 70 |
3º
|
0% | |
|
4º
|
70 | 70 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
5º
|
63 | 63 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
61 | 61 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
51 | 51 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
50 | 50 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
46 | 46 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
44 | 44 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
41 | 41 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
40 | 40 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
36 | 36 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
35 | 35 |
14º
|
0% | |
|
15º
|
35 | 35 |
15º
|
0% | |
|
16º
|
29 | 29 |
16º
|
100% | |
|
|
17º
|
25 | 25 |
17º
|
100% | |
|
|
18º
|
12 | 12 |
18º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hamburger SV III
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Aug. 2024 |
THA
3 - 1
HAM
41%
22%
37%
|
27 | 30 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2024 |
HAM
1 - 4
NIE
17%
20%
63%
|
29 | 46 | 17 | -2 |
| 10 May. 2024 |
HAM
1 - 3
UPH
86%
9%
5%
|
31 | 19 | 12 | -2 |
| 03 May. 2024 |
NDF
2 - 5
HAM
15%
17%
68%
|
29 | 21 | 8 | +2 |
| 26 Apr. 2024 |
HAM
7 - 1
SSR
74%
14%
13%
|
28 | 22 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Alsterbruder
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Aug. 2024 |
DAS
1 - 0
ATB
79%
13%
8%
|
22 | 54 | 32 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2024 |
ATB
0 - 1
SAS
13%
15%
72%
|
23 | 48 | 25 | -1 |
| 12 May. 2024 |
UTO
4 - 3
ATB
57%
19%
24%
|
23 | 26 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2024 |
ATB
1 - 2
WAN
33%
21%
46%
|
24 | 28 | 4 | -1 |
| 21 Apr. 2024 |
BUC
5 - 2
ATB
64%
18%
19%
|
24 | 31 | 7 | 0 |