Hamburger SV III vs Curslack-Neuengamme analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
50.7%
Win probability
2.27
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
4.3%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
8.9%
2-0
4.9%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
3%
5-3
0.8%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
15%
1-0
4.3%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
5.3%
4-3
1.7%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.9%
20.1%
Draw
0-0
1.9%
1-1
7.3%
2-2
7%
3-3
3%
4-4
0.7%
5-5
0.1%
6-6
<0%
0
20.1%
29.2%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
0-1
3.2%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
4%
3-4
1.3%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
15%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0.1%
-2
8.5%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
3.8%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
17º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
31
10º
16º
17º
23
1º
18º
18º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
19º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
79 | 82 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
74 | 77 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
70 | 73 |
3º
|
99% | |
|
5º
|
67 | 70 |
4º
|
65% | |
|
4º
|
68 | 69 |
5º
|
66% | |
|
6º
|
63 | 63 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
54 | 57 |
7º
|
59.5% | |
|
8º
|
54 | 54 |
8º
|
59.5% | |
|
10º
|
47 | 50 |
9º
|
78% | |
|
9º
|
48 | 48 |
10º
|
78% | |
|
11º
|
43 | 46 |
11º
|
90% | |
|
12º
|
41 | 41 |
12º
|
84.5% | |
|
13º
|
40 | 40 |
13º
|
92.5% | |
|
14º
|
39 | 39 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
35 | 35 |
15º
|
78.5% | |
|
16º
|
33 | 33 |
16º
|
68.5% | |
|
|
17º
|
31 | 31 |
17º
|
90% | |
|
|
19º
|
23 | 24 |
18º
|
54.5% | |
|
18º
|
23 | 23 |
19º
|
54.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hamburger SV III
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Aug. 2022 |
THA
2 - 2
HAM
57%
20%
23%
|
25 | 31 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2022 |
SUD
7 - 0
HAM
39%
21%
41%
|
27 | 24 | 3 | -2 |
| 12 Aug. 2022 |
HAM
3 - 0
RUG
58%
19%
23%
|
26 | 26 | 0 | +1 |
| 05 Aug. 2022 |
VHG
3 - 2
HAM
68%
16%
16%
|
26 | 34 | 8 | 0 |
| 31 Jul. 2022 |
HAM
0 - 2
WAN
53%
20%
27%
|
27 | 29 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Curslack-Neuengamme
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Aug. 2022 |
CUR
2 - 2
NIE
19%
20%
61%
|
25 | 40 | 15 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2022 |
PAL
6 - 1
CUR
60%
20%
21%
|
27 | 31 | 4 | -2 |
| 20 Aug. 2022 |
CUR
1 - 3
SAS
26%
21%
53%
|
28 | 38 | 10 | -1 |
| 14 Aug. 2022 |
WIL
4 - 1
CUR
33%
21%
46%
|
30 | 26 | 4 | -2 |
| 06 Aug. 2022 |
CUR
1 - 1
HAM
81%
12%
7%
|
30 | 20 | 10 | 0 |