Hamborn vs SF Baumberg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
26.2%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
3%
2-0
2.9%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
7.5%
1-0
3.9%
2-1
6.2%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
14.5%
20.7%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
2.4%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
20.7%
53.1%
Win probability
2.15
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
4.8%
3-4
1.3%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
21.1%
0-2
6.2%
1-3
6.5%
2-4
2.6%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
15.9%
0-3
4.4%
1-4
3.5%
2-5
1.1%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
9.3%
0-4
2.4%
1-5
1.5%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0.1%
-4
4.3%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
1.7%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
1-9
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
18º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
29
2º
18º
18º
70
1º
1º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
70 | 73 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
61 | 64 |
2º
|
57.5% | |
|
3º
|
60 | 63 |
3º
|
57.5% | |
|
4º
|
55 | 58 |
4º
|
57.5% | |
|
6º
|
52 | 55 |
5º
|
22.5% | |
|
5º
|
54 | 54 |
6º
|
48.5% | |
|
15º
|
34 | 53 |
7º
|
4.5% | |
|
7º
|
52 | 53 |
8º
|
23.5% | |
|
8º
|
44 | 45 |
9º
|
71.5% | |
|
9º
|
42 | 43 |
10º
|
38% | |
|
10º
|
41 | 42 |
11º
|
36% | |
|
11º
|
41 | 42 |
12º
|
55.5% | |
|
12º
|
37 | 38 |
13º
|
27% | |
|
13º
|
37 | 38 |
14º
|
21% | |
|
14º
|
35 | 36 |
15º
|
35% | |
|
16º
|
34 | 35 |
16º
|
52.5% | |
|
17º
|
33 | 34 |
17º
|
81.5% | |
|
|
18º
|
29 | 29 |
18º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hamborn
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Aug. 2023 |
KFC
3 - 0
HAM
66%
19%
15%
|
36 | 44 | 8 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2023 |
HAM
0 - 0
VFB
40%
23%
38%
|
35 | 38 | 3 | +1 |
| 13 Aug. 2023 |
FCB
2 - 1
HAM
6%
11%
84%
|
36 | 13 | 23 | -1 |
| 30 Jul. 2023 |
HAM
3 - 2
BWM
63%
19%
19%
|
36 | 22 | 14 | 0 |
| 08 Jul. 2023 |
HAM
0 - 4
MSV
7%
14%
80%
|
36 | 60 | 24 | 0 |
Matches
SF Baumberg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Aug. 2023 |
SFB
3 - 1
MEE
62%
19%
20%
|
40 | 36 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2023 |
KFC
1 - 2
SFB
59%
21%
21%
|
38 | 44 | 6 | +2 |
| 13 Aug. 2023 |
SFB
2 - 0
SON
63%
19%
18%
|
37 | 34 | 3 | +1 |
| 25 Jul. 2023 |
SFB
2 - 0
BSC
46%
23%
32%
|
36 | 38 | 2 | +1 |
| 03 Jun. 2023 |
SFB
4 - 2
SCH
45%
21%
34%
|
35 | 36 | 1 | +1 |