Halthier vs Messancy analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
47.5%
Win probability
1.82
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3%
3-0
4%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.3%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.4%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.4%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.8%
29.6%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.5%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
8.5%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Halthier
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Sep. 2014 |
LAR
4 - 1
HAL
70%
17%
13%
|
19 | 25 | 6 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2014 |
HAL
1 - 2
CHA
40%
23%
37%
|
20 | 22 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Messancy
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Sep. 2014 |
CHA
3 - 0
MES
63%
19%
18%
|
20 | 22 | 2 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2014 |
MES
3 - 0
ROS
54%
22%
25%
|
19 | 19 | 0 | +1 |
| 13 Apr. 2014 |
SAR
2 - 1
MES
38%
24%
39%
|
20 | 18 | 2 | -1 |
| 06 Apr. 2014 |
MES
1 - 2
GOU
51%
22%
27%
|
21 | 21 | 0 | -1 |
| 30 Mar. 2014 |
GOU
2 - 1
MES
44%
23%
32%
|
21 | 20 | 1 | 0 |