Halswell United FC vs Ferrymead Bays analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
14.4%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.1%
2-0
1.6%
3-1
1.4%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
3.6%
1-0
3%
2-1
4.1%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
0.1%
+1
9.3%
17.2%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
7.6%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
17.2%
68.3%
Win probability
2.49
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
4.2%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
21.8%
0-2
8.8%
1-3
7.8%
2-4
2.6%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
19.8%
0-3
7.3%
1-4
4.9%
2-5
1.3%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
13.7%
0-4
4.6%
1-5
2.4%
2-6
0.5%
3-7
0.1%
-4
7.6%
0-5
2.3%
1-6
1%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
3.5%
0-6
0.9%
1-7
0.4%
2-8
0.1%
-6
1.4%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.5%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ferrymead Bays
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Jun. 2018 |
CAS
2 - 0
FER
84%
11%
5%
|
25 | 56 | 31 | 0 |
| 05 Jun. 2017 |
FER
0 - 0
NOM
52%
21%
27%
|
25 | 22 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Jun. 2015 |
CAS
2 - 1
FER
80%
14%
6%
|
25 | 57 | 32 | 0 |