Cup Winners Cup 1/16
Global 3-3
Halmstads vs Lokomotiv Sofia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
51.6%
Win probability
1.93
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.6%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.4%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.6%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22%
22.1%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.1%
26.3%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15.1%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
7.4%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Halmstads
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep. 1995 |
HAL
1 - 2
TRE
61%
22%
18%
|
77 | 73 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 1995 |
NOR
1 - 1
HAL
55%
23%
22%
|
77 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 1995 |
LSO
3 - 1
HAL
48%
22%
31%
|
78 | 75 | 3 | -1 |
| 09 Sep. 1995 |
HAL
2 - 1
ORE
49%
26%
25%
|
77 | 79 | 2 | +1 |
| 31 Aug. 1995 |
HAL
5 - 1
DEG
71%
18%
11%
|
77 | 68 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Lokomotiv Sofia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Sep. 1995 |
LSO
4 - 1
VID
82%
12%
6%
|
77 | 60 | 17 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 1995 |
CSK
1 - 5
LSO
64%
19%
17%
|
76 | 77 | 1 | +1 |
| 14 Sep. 1995 |
LSO
3 - 0
KYU
63%
21%
16%
|
76 | 74 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 1995 |
LSO
3 - 1
HAL
48%
22%
31%
|
75 | 78 | 3 | +1 |
| 07 Sep. 1995 |
MON
0 - 0
LSO
36%
27%
37%
|
75 | 65 | 10 | 0 |