UCL Qualifying Third round Final
Global 3-4
Halmstads vs Anderlecht analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
31.3%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.2%
2-0
4.9%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.8%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.1%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.3%
43.4%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
0-1
9.6%
1-2
9%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
22%
0-2
7.3%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
13%
0-3
3.7%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.7%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Halmstads
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Aug. 2001 |
HAL
2 - 2
AIK
54%
24%
22%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Aug. 2001 |
HAL
2 - 0
BOH
62%
20%
18%
|
81 | 76 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 Jul. 2001 |
MFF
3 - 3
HAL
39%
26%
35%
|
81 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Jul. 2001 |
BOH
1 - 2
HAL
38%
25%
36%
|
80 | 77 | 3 | +1 |
| 21 Jul. 2001 |
HAL
3 - 0
ORE
63%
21%
17%
|
80 | 74 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Anderlecht
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Aug. 2001 |
KVC
1 - 4
AND
15%
20%
65%
|
88 | 76 | 12 | 0 |
| 01 Aug. 2001 |
SHF
1 - 2
AND
28%
24%
48%
|
88 | 79 | 9 | 0 |
| 25 Jul. 2001 |
AND
4 - 0
SHF
86%
10%
5%
|
88 | 79 | 9 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2001 |
EEA
1 - 5
AND
17%
21%
62%
|
88 | 64 | 24 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2001 |
AND
1 - 0
KVM
75%
15%
10%
|
88 | 69 | 19 | 0 |