Halcones vs Nueva Concepción analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
72.9%
Win probability
2.4
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.4%
5-0
2.7%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.7%
4-0
5.7%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.2%
3-0
9.4%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.9%
2-0
11.8%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.3%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.7%
16.6%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
7.8%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.6%
10.5%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
3.1%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
7.5%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.3%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Halcones
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Sep. 2015 |
HUE
0 - 1
HAL
24%
24%
52%
|
61 | 47 | 14 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2015 |
HAL
3 - 3
SLC
59%
23%
18%
|
61 | 55 | 6 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2015 |
IZT
1 - 0
HAL
20%
23%
57%
|
62 | 46 | 16 | -1 |
| 23 Aug. 2015 |
HAL
3 - 0
HER
66%
20%
14%
|
61 | 51 | 10 | +1 |
| 16 Aug. 2015 |
HAL
4 - 0
BAR
74%
16%
9%
|
61 | 42 | 19 | 0 |
Matches
Nueva Concepción
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Sep. 2015 |
NUE
2 - 1
PUE
49%
24%
28%
|
45 | 44 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2015 |
DEP
4 - 0
NUE
38%
24%
38%
|
46 | 45 | 1 | -1 |
| 30 Aug. 2015 |
HUE
2 - 1
NUE
42%
24%
34%
|
47 | 47 | 0 | -1 |
| 23 Aug. 2015 |
NUE
1 - 0
SLC
33%
25%
42%
|
46 | 55 | 9 | +1 |
| 19 Aug. 2015 |
IZT
4 - 1
NUE
33%
24%
44%
|
48 | 42 | 6 | -2 |