FC Haka vs VPS Vaasa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
34%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.8%
2-0
5.2%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.8%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.8%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.9%
41.1%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
0-1
8.7%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21%
0-2
6.5%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
12.3%
0-3
3.3%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.3%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-13%
-10%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
16
2º
11º
8º
20
3º
7º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
2º
|
35 | 45 |
1º
|
52% | |
|
1º
|
37 | 44 |
2º
|
37.5% | |
|
3º
|
32 | 40 |
3º
|
35.5% | |
|
4º
|
31 | 38 |
4º
|
40% | |
|
5º
|
28 | 35 |
5º
|
62% | |
|
|
6º
|
20 | 28 |
6º
|
51.5% | |
|
7º
|
20 | 27 |
7º
|
31.5% | |
|
|
10º
|
16 | 23 |
8º
|
23.5% | |
|
9º
|
16 | 21 |
9º
|
14.5% | |
|
8º
|
17 | 21 |
10º
|
23% | |
|
11º
|
15 | 20 |
11º
|
21% | |
|
12º
|
14 | 19 |
12º
|
33% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
2% | 55.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
98% | 44.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC Haka
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 May. 2025 |
HAK
6 - 0
UPL
84%
11%
5%
|
73 | 37 | 36 | 0 |
| 23 May. 2025 |
KOO
0 - 0
HAK
32%
26%
43%
|
73 | 64 | 9 | 0 |
| 16 May. 2025 |
HAK
1 - 3
KUO
42%
27%
31%
|
74 | 76 | 2 | -1 |
| 09 May. 2025 |
ILV
3 - 2
HAK
51%
25%
25%
|
74 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2025 |
AHS
0 - 4
HAK
3%
8%
89%
|
74 | 23 | 51 | 0 |
Matches
VPS Vaasa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 May. 2025 |
PII
1 - 5
VAA
8%
14%
78%
|
76 | 48 | 28 | 0 |
| 25 May. 2025 |
KUO
0 - 2
VAA
40%
25%
35%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2025 |
VAA
0 - 0
FFJ
68%
20%
12%
|
76 | 63 | 13 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2025 |
SEI
2 - 3
VAA
43%
25%
32%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2025 |
JSP
1 - 2
VAA
2%
6%
92%
|
76 | 26 | 50 | 0 |