FC Haka vs FC KTP analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
57.4%
Win probability
1.96
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.6%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.4%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.8%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.5%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.4%
21.8%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.8%
20.8%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
13.1%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.5%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
-21%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
15
2º
10º
8º
10
8º
12º
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
12º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
33 | 44 |
1º
|
52.5% | |
|
2º
|
32 | 42 |
2º
|
36% | |
|
3º
|
30 | 40 |
3º
|
32.5% | |
|
4º
|
26 | 37 |
4º
|
35.5% | |
|
5º
|
25 | 36 |
5º
|
40% | |
|
6º
|
20 | 31 |
6º
|
36.5% | |
|
7º
|
18 | 29 |
7º
|
30.5% | |
|
|
10º
|
15 | 26 |
8º
|
30.5% | |
|
9º
|
15 | 23 |
9º
|
19% | |
|
8º
|
16 | 21 |
10º
|
21% | |
|
11º
|
12 | 20 |
11º
|
27% | |
|
|
12º
|
10 | 17 |
12º
|
57% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
7% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
93% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC Haka
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jul. 2025 |
IFK
1 - 1
HAK
27%
26%
48%
|
74 | 64 | 10 | 0 |
| 13 Jul. 2025 |
GNI
2 - 0
HAK
44%
26%
31%
|
75 | 74 | 1 | -1 |
| 06 Jul. 2025 |
HAK
0 - 1
INT
41%
26%
33%
|
75 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Jul. 2025 |
VAA
1 - 2
HAK
48%
25%
27%
|
74 | 77 | 3 | +1 |
| 28 Jun. 2025 |
HAK
0 - 4
ILV
41%
26%
34%
|
75 | 77 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
FC KTP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jul. 2025 |
KOO
2 - 2
INT
26%
25%
49%
|
64 | 77 | 13 | 0 |
| 13 Jul. 2025 |
OUL
3 - 2
KOO
47%
24%
29%
|
64 | 70 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 Jul. 2025 |
KOO
0 - 0
GNI
27%
24%
49%
|
63 | 74 | 11 | +1 |
| 02 Jul. 2025 |
ILV
2 - 1
KOO
63%
20%
17%
|
64 | 77 | 13 | -1 |
| 28 Jun. 2025 |
KOO
3 - 2
FFJ
39%
25%
36%
|
63 | 66 | 3 | +1 |