Q. Europa League Second Round Final
Global 4-2
HNK Hajduk Split vs Slavia Sofia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
67.2%
Win probability
2.07
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.4%
4-0
4.4%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6%
3-0
8.5%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.6%
2-0
12.4%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.5%
1-0
12%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
19.7%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.7%
13.1%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
9.3%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.9%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
HNK Hajduk Split
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jul. 2018 |
HKS
4 - 0
FCR
54%
24%
22%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 Jul. 2018 |
RUD
1 - 1
HKS
23%
24%
53%
|
84 | 71 | 13 | 0 |
| 29 Jun. 2018 |
HKS
4 - 0
GÓR
61%
21%
17%
|
84 | 77 | 7 | 0 |
| 23 May. 2018 |
DZG
1 - 0
HKS
37%
24%
39%
|
84 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2018 |
RIJ
3 - 1
HKS
38%
24%
38%
|
85 | 82 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Slavia Sofia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jul. 2018 |
SSO
1 - 1
BER
53%
25%
22%
|
76 | 74 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Jul. 2018 |
SSO
2 - 1
ILV
62%
21%
17%
|
74 | 68 | 6 | +2 |
| 12 Jul. 2018 |
ILV
0 - 1
SSO
33%
25%
42%
|
74 | 68 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 Jul. 2018 |
LUD
1 - 0
SSO
51%
23%
26%
|
74 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Jun. 2018 |
SSO
2 - 4
BVR
68%
19%
13%
|
74 | 64 | 10 | 0 |