HNK Hajduk Split vs NK Osijek analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
45.6%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.3%
3-0
4%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.4%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
5%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.8%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.2%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.6%
29.8%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
17.3%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.4%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
-7%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
63
1º
4º
3º
42
4º
9º
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
7º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
65 | 65 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
65 | 65 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
63 | 63 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
49 | 49 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
48 | 48 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
48 | 48 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
|
7º
|
42 | 42 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
39 | 39 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
37 | 37 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
28 | 30 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase
|
0% | 0% |
|
Europa League
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
100% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
HNK Hajduk Split
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Aug. 2024 |
IST
1 - 1
HKS
23%
27%
50%
|
85 | 74 | 11 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2024 |
HKS
2 - 1
NKV
64%
21%
15%
|
85 | 76 | 9 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2024 |
HKS
0 - 1
RUZ
60%
22%
18%
|
85 | 78 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2024 |
LOK
1 - 1
HKS
40%
26%
34%
|
85 | 81 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Aug. 2024 |
RUZ
0 - 0
HKS
30%
27%
43%
|
85 | 78 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
NK Osijek
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Aug. 2024 |
OSI
0 - 2
RIJ
40%
26%
34%
|
84 | 85 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2024 |
HNG
2 - 2
OSI
23%
25%
53%
|
84 | 75 | 9 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2024 |
ZIR
2 - 2
OSI
22%
25%
54%
|
84 | 74 | 10 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2024 |
OSI
1 - 2
DZG
40%
26%
34%
|
85 | 85 | 0 | -1 |
| 08 Aug. 2024 |
OSI
1 - 1
ZIR
67%
21%
12%
|
85 | 74 | 11 | 0 |