Q. Europa League 3rd Round Final
Global 6-1
HNK Hajduk Split vs Oleksandriya analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
41.5%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
4%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.2%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.1%
26.6%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.6%
32%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
9.2%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.9%
0-2
5.4%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.9%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
HNK Hajduk Split
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jul. 2016 |
SPL
0 - 1
HKS
30%
27%
43%
|
77 | 72 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 2016 |
PFC
0 - 3
HKS
46%
26%
28%
|
77 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Jul. 2016 |
HKS
2 - 1
CSM
47%
26%
28%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | +1 |
| 17 Jul. 2016 |
HNK
0 - 2
HKS
27%
27%
46%
|
76 | 66 | 10 | 0 |
| 14 Jul. 2016 |
CSM
2 - 2
HKS
40%
26%
34%
|
77 | 76 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Oleksandriya
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jul. 2016 |
PFC
3 - 2
VOR
36%
28%
35%
|
79 | 84 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 2016 |
PFC
0 - 3
HKS
46%
26%
28%
|
79 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Jul. 2016 |
DYN
5 - 1
PFC
63%
21%
16%
|
80 | 85 | 5 | -1 |
| 15 May. 2016 |
VOR
0 - 1
PFC
55%
24%
21%
|
80 | 85 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2016 |
SHA
2 - 0
PFC
66%
19%
14%
|
80 | 85 | 5 | 0 |