HNK Hajduk Split vs NK Varazdin analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
63.7%
Win probability
1.87
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.8%
3-0
7.9%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.1%
2-0
12.6%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.7%
1-0
13.5%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.6%
21.7%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.7%
14.5%
Win probability
0.76
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.4%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.2%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+9%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
63
1º
4º
3º
49
4º
6º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
65 | 65 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
65 | 65 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
63 | 63 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
49 | 49 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
48 | 48 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
48 | 48 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
42 | 42 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
39 | 39 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
37 | 37 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
28 | 30 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase
|
0% | 0% |
|
Europa League
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
100% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
HNK Hajduk Split
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Feb. 2025 |
LOK
3 - 2
HKS
37%
27%
37%
|
85 | 79 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2025 |
HKS
0 - 0
SLA
67%
20%
12%
|
85 | 71 | 14 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2025 |
MUR
1 - 0
HKS
15%
24%
61%
|
85 | 67 | 18 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2025 |
HKS
1 - 2
UJP
59%
22%
19%
|
85 | 78 | 7 | 0 |
| 09 Jan. 2025 |
HKS
1 - 0
OSN
71%
17%
12%
|
85 | 69 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
NK Varazdin
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Feb. 2025 |
NKV
1 - 0
RIJ
27%
27%
46%
|
76 | 84 | 8 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2025 |
HNG
1 - 1
NKV
38%
28%
35%
|
76 | 71 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2025 |
LOK
3 - 2
NKV
56%
23%
21%
|
76 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2025 |
NKV
2 - 0
NKD
80%
14%
6%
|
76 | 50 | 26 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 2025 |
NKV
1 - 0
SLA
51%
23%
26%
|
76 | 71 | 5 | 0 |