HNK Hajduk Split vs NK Varazdin analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
64.2%
Win probability
1.93
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.1%
3-0
7.9%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.4%
2-0
12.2%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.8%
1-0
12.6%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.2%
21.2%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
10%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.2%
14.7%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
4%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
10.4%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.4%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+9%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
63
1º
4º
3º
49
4º
6º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
65 | 65 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
65 | 65 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
63 | 63 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
49 | 49 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
48 | 48 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
48 | 48 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
42 | 42 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
39 | 39 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
37 | 37 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
28 | 30 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase
|
0% | 0% |
|
Europa League
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
100% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
HNK Hajduk Split
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Aug. 2024 |
HKS
0 - 1
RUZ
60%
22%
18%
|
85 | 78 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2024 |
LOK
1 - 1
HKS
40%
26%
34%
|
85 | 81 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Aug. 2024 |
RUZ
0 - 0
HKS
30%
27%
43%
|
85 | 78 | 7 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2024 |
HKS
2 - 1
SLA
71%
18%
11%
|
85 | 71 | 14 | 0 |
| 01 Aug. 2024 |
HBT
0 - 0
HKS
23%
24%
52%
|
86 | 70 | 16 | -1 |
Matches
NK Varazdin
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Aug. 2024 |
NKV
0 - 0
RIJ
31%
25%
44%
|
76 | 85 | 9 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2024 |
HNG
0 - 0
NKV
45%
27%
29%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2024 |
NKV
5 - 1
ALR
42%
24%
34%
|
76 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Jul. 2024 |
BEL
2 - 2
NKV
26%
24%
51%
|
76 | 62 | 14 | 0 |
| 13 Jul. 2024 |
NKV
1 - 0
SCM
72%
18%
11%
|
76 | 64 | 12 | 0 |