HNK Hajduk Split vs NK Varazdin analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
68.2%
Win probability
2.1
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.5%
4-0
4.6%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.3%
3-0
8.8%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.9%
2-0
12.6%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.8%
1-0
12%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
19.3%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.3%
12.5%
Win probability
0.76
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.9%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.8%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+9%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
68
1º
3º
3º
42
4º
8º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
82 | 82 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
74 | 74 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
68 | 68 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
57 | 57 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
51 | 51 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
|
6º
|
42 | 42 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
41 | 41 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
41 | 41 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
33 | 33 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
9 | 9 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase
|
0% | 0% |
|
Europa League qualifying phase
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
100% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
HNK Hajduk Split
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Apr. 2024 |
HKS
5 - 1
RUD
84%
13%
4%
|
85 | 57 | 28 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2024 |
SLA
0 - 1
HKS
18%
25%
57%
|
85 | 71 | 14 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2024 |
HKS
1 - 2
OSI
49%
24%
27%
|
85 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2024 |
RIJ
1 - 0
HKS
51%
24%
26%
|
85 | 85 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2024 |
HKS
0 - 1
DZG
44%
25%
31%
|
85 | 85 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
NK Varazdin
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Apr. 2024 |
NKV
0 - 1
DZG
25%
26%
50%
|
75 | 85 | 10 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2024 |
RUD
0 - 2
NKV
20%
25%
55%
|
74 | 57 | 17 | +1 |
| 17 Apr. 2024 |
DZG
2 - 1
NKV
71%
18%
11%
|
74 | 85 | 11 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2024 |
NKV
0 - 2
LOK
36%
26%
38%
|
75 | 80 | 5 | -1 |
| 06 Apr. 2024 |
SLA
0 - 1
NKV
36%
28%
37%
|
74 | 70 | 4 | +1 |