HNK Hajduk Split vs NK Varazdin analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
57.6%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.5%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.7%
1-0
11%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.7%
19.8%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.9%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
HNK Hajduk Split
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 May. 2004 |
OSI
0 - 1
HKS
36%
25%
39%
|
85 | 74 | 11 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2004 |
HKS
2 - 0
RIJ
62%
22%
17%
|
85 | 77 | 8 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2004 |
DZG
3 - 1
HKS
59%
21%
20%
|
85 | 85 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2004 |
ZAD
2 - 3
HKS
22%
24%
54%
|
85 | 66 | 19 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2004 |
NKV
0 - 0
HKS
37%
26%
36%
|
85 | 80 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
NK Varazdin
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 May. 2004 |
NKV
4 - 1
ZAD
68%
19%
14%
|
80 | 66 | 14 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2004 |
NKV
2 - 0
OSI
57%
23%
21%
|
80 | 75 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2004 |
NKV
1 - 1
DZG
27%
23%
50%
|
79 | 85 | 6 | +1 |
| 01 May. 2004 |
RIJ
1 - 0
NKV
39%
26%
35%
|
80 | 77 | 3 | -1 |
| 24 Apr. 2004 |
NKV
3 - 4
DZG
36%
26%
38%
|
80 | 85 | 5 | 0 |