HNK Hajduk Split vs NK Istra 1961 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
86.2%
Win probability
2.83
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.4%
7-0
1.1%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.3%
6-0
2.7%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
<0%
+6
3.2%
5-0
5.8%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.1%
+5
7%
4-0
10.2%
5-1
2.5%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
13%
3-0
14.4%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
19.4%
2-0
15.2%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.6%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
6.7%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.1%
+1
19%
10.2%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
4.7%
2-2
1.5%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
10.2%
3.6%
Win probability
0.44
Expected goals
0-1
1.7%
1-2
1%
2-3
0.2%
3-4
0%
-1
2.9%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.5%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+26%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
HNK Hajduk Split
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 May. 2003 |
HKS
1 - 0
HNK
72%
18%
10%
|
85 | 73 | 12 | 0 |
| 24 May. 2003 |
NKV
2 - 2
HKS
40%
26%
34%
|
85 | 81 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2003 |
IST
0 - 1
HKS
6%
15%
79%
|
85 | 60 | 25 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2003 |
ZAG
3 - 1
HKS
38%
25%
36%
|
85 | 78 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2003 |
HKS
4 - 1
DZG
46%
25%
29%
|
85 | 85 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
NK Istra 1961
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 May. 2003 |
IST
0 - 1
HKS
6%
15%
79%
|
60 | 85 | 25 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2003 |
KIV
0 - 4
IST
74%
17%
9%
|
57 | 74 | 17 | +3 |
| 16 Apr. 2003 |
IST
1 - 1
KIV
22%
25%
53%
|
57 | 75 | 18 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2003 |
ULJ
3 - 0
IST
58%
23%
20%
|
58 | 62 | 4 | -1 |
| 19 Mar. 2003 |
IST
4 - 1
OSI
21%
24%
55%
|
56 | 73 | 17 | +2 |