HNK Hajduk Split vs HNK Sibenik analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
66.7%
Win probability
1.93
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2%
4-0
4.2%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.5%
3-0
8.7%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
12%
2-0
13.5%
3-1
6%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.6%
1-0
14%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.7%
20.7%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
20.7%
12.6%
Win probability
0.7
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.2%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.7%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
-1%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
63
1º
4º
3º
28
2º
10º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
65 | 65 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
65 | 65 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
63 | 63 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
49 | 49 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
48 | 48 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
48 | 48 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
42 | 42 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
39 | 39 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
37 | 37 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
|
10º
|
28 | 30 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase
|
0% | 0% |
|
Europa League
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
100% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
HNK Hajduk Split
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Mar. 2025 |
RIJ
3 - 0
HKS
45%
26%
29%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2025 |
HKS
2 - 1
HNG
65%
22%
13%
|
84 | 73 | 11 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2025 |
DZG
2 - 2
HKS
50%
24%
26%
|
84 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2025 |
HKS
1 - 3
RIJ
47%
25%
28%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2025 |
HKS
4 - 0
OSI
43%
25%
31%
|
84 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
HNK Sibenik
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Mar. 2025 |
HNS
1 - 0
IST
32%
28%
41%
|
69 | 77 | 8 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2025 |
RIJ
1 - 1
HNS
67%
21%
12%
|
69 | 84 | 15 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2025 |
HNS
0 - 2
NKV
34%
28%
38%
|
69 | 76 | 7 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2025 |
HNG
1 - 0
HNS
49%
26%
25%
|
69 | 73 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2025 |
HNS
1 - 2
LOK
22%
25%
53%
|
69 | 79 | 10 | 0 |