HNK Hajduk Split vs HNK Gorica analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
74.9%
Win probability
2.3
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.8%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.6%
4-0
6.2%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.2%
3-0
10.7%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
15.3%
2-0
14%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.2%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.6%
16.4%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
7.8%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
16.4%
8.6%
Win probability
0.64
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
2.5%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.5%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.7%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
-7%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
71
1º
2º
2º
32
7º
10º
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
9º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
81 | 81 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
71 | 71 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
50 | 50 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
49 | 49 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
46 | 46 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
46 | 46 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
43 | 43 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
43 | 43 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
|
9º
|
32 | 32 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
27 | 27 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions league qualifying phase (2nd r
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
100% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
HNK Hajduk Split
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Feb. 2023 |
NKV
1 - 4
HKS
19%
22%
59%
|
84 | 72 | 12 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2023 |
HKS
1 - 2
RIJ
58%
22%
21%
|
84 | 79 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2023 |
IST
3 - 0
HKS
13%
21%
66%
|
85 | 68 | 17 | -1 |
| 22 Jan. 2023 |
HKS
2 - 1
HNS
80%
14%
6%
|
85 | 66 | 19 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2023 |
HKS
1 - 1
SLO
61%
21%
18%
|
84 | 79 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
HNK Gorica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Feb. 2023 |
RIJ
2 - 0
HNG
63%
21%
17%
|
73 | 80 | 7 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2023 |
0 - 4
HNG
5%
13%
82%
|
72 | 33 | 39 | +1 |
| 05 Feb. 2023 |
HNG
0 - 3
HNS
61%
24%
16%
|
73 | 66 | 7 | -1 |
| 29 Jan. 2023 |
OSI
2 - 0
HNG
57%
25%
18%
|
74 | 83 | 9 | -1 |
| 21 Jan. 2023 |
DZG
0 - 0
HNG
74%
16%
9%
|
73 | 84 | 11 | +1 |