Q. Europa League 4th Round Final
Global 5-2
HNK Hajduk Split vs FC Unirea Urziceni analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
65.8%
Win probability
1.93
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.3%
3-0
8.4%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.8%
2-0
13.1%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.4%
1-0
13.5%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.5%
20.9%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
20.9%
13.3%
Win probability
0.73
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.6%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.9%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
HNK Hajduk Split
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Aug. 2010 |
INT
0 - 5
HKS
19%
26%
55%
|
85 | 64 | 21 | 0 |
| 08 Aug. 2010 |
HKS
2 - 0
HNS
67%
20%
14%
|
84 | 75 | 9 | +1 |
| 05 Aug. 2010 |
HKS
3 - 0
DBU
57%
22%
20%
|
84 | 79 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Aug. 2010 |
OSI
2 - 2
HKS
32%
28%
40%
|
84 | 74 | 10 | 0 |
| 29 Jul. 2010 |
DBU
3 - 1
HKS
44%
27%
30%
|
85 | 79 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
FC Unirea Urziceni
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Aug. 2010 |
URZ
0 - 1
UCL
61%
24%
15%
|
79 | 66 | 13 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2010 |
TAR
1 - 0
URZ
30%
29%
41%
|
79 | 65 | 14 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2010 |
ZEN
1 - 0
URZ
65%
22%
13%
|
79 | 86 | 7 | 0 |
| 31 Jul. 2010 |
URZ
0 - 0
RAP
45%
29%
27%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2010 |
URZ
0 - 0
ZEN
28%
27%
45%
|
79 | 86 | 7 | 0 |