Q. Europa League Playoffs Final
Global 1-2
HNK Hajduk Split vs Dnipro Dnipropetrovsk analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
30.4%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
1.9%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.9%
2-0
5%
3-1
2.8%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.4%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
7.2%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.1%
26.1%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.1%
43.5%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
0-1
10.7%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
22.5%
0-2
7.7%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13%
0-3
3.7%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.5%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
HNK Hajduk Split
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Aug. 2014 |
OSI
2 - 0
HKS
22%
25%
54%
|
78 | 64 | 14 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2014 |
DNI
2 - 1
HKS
62%
21%
17%
|
78 | 85 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2014 |
HKS
6 - 0
ZAD
72%
18%
9%
|
77 | 60 | 17 | +1 |
| 10 Aug. 2014 |
LOK
2 - 5
HKS
35%
26%
39%
|
77 | 69 | 8 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2014 |
HKS
3 - 0
SHA
48%
25%
27%
|
76 | 77 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Dnipro Dnipropetrovsk
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Aug. 2014 |
DES
0 - 1
DNI
18%
25%
57%
|
85 | 66 | 19 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2014 |
DNI
2 - 1
HKS
62%
21%
17%
|
85 | 78 | 7 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2014 |
MEZ
0 - 1
DNI
17%
25%
59%
|
85 | 66 | 19 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2014 |
DNI
4 - 0
KPT
64%
20%
16%
|
85 | 79 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2014 |
FCK
2 - 0
DNI
42%
26%
32%
|
85 | 84 | 1 | 0 |