Cup Winners Cup Last 16
Global 3-3
HNK Hajduk Split vs Diósgyőr VTK analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
79%
Win probability
3.06
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.5%
7-0
0.9%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
0.1%
+7
1.3%
6-0
2%
7-1
0.9%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
3.1%
5-0
4%
6-1
2%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
0.1%
+5
6.4%
4-0
6.6%
5-1
3.8%
6-2
0.9%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
11.5%
3-0
8.6%
4-1
6.3%
5-2
1.8%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
17%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
3%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.3%
1-0
5.5%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
18.7%
12.5%
Draw
0-0
1.8%
1-1
5.3%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
12.5%
8.5%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
1.7%
1-2
2.5%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
5.9%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
HNK Hajduk Split
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Oct. 1977 |
DIO
2 - 1
HKS
29%
25%
46%
|
82 | 72 | 10 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 1977 |
HKS
4 - 0
DUN
81%
12%
7%
|
81 | 68 | 13 | +1 |
| 14 Sep. 1977 |
DUN
1 - 0
HKS
24%
22%
54%
|
82 | 66 | 16 | -1 |
| 04 Nov. 1976 |
HKS
1 - 2
ATM
48%
24%
28%
|
82 | 87 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 1976 |
ATM
1 - 0
HKS
75%
15%
10%
|
82 | 86 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Diósgyőr VTK
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Oct. 1977 |
DIO
2 - 1
HKS
29%
25%
46%
|
72 | 82 | 10 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 1977 |
DIO
5 - 0
BJK
54%
22%
24%
|
70 | 75 | 5 | +2 |
| 14 Sep. 1977 |
BJK
2 - 0
DIO
53%
22%
25%
|
71 | 74 | 3 | -1 |