HNK Hajduk Split vs Dinamo Zagreb analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
39.9%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.9%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.8%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21%
25.5%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.5%
34.5%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
0-1
8.4%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
19.3%
0-2
5.5%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.9%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.8%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
+8%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
63
1º
4º
3º
65
1º
3º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
65 | 65 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
65 | 65 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
63 | 63 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
49 | 49 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
48 | 48 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
48 | 48 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
42 | 42 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
39 | 39 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
37 | 37 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
28 | 30 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase
|
0% | 100% |
|
Europa League
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
100% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
HNK Hajduk Split
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Apr. 2025 |
OSI
2 - 0
HKS
42%
27%
31%
|
84 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2025 |
HKS
0 - 1
IST
59%
23%
18%
|
84 | 79 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2025 |
NKV
1 - 1
HKS
29%
28%
43%
|
84 | 78 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2025 |
HKS
1 - 1
LOK
49%
24%
27%
|
84 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2025 |
SLA
0 - 1
HKS
29%
28%
43%
|
84 | 77 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Dinamo Zagreb
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Apr. 2025 |
DZG
1 - 0
RIJ
50%
24%
25%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2025 |
HNG
1 - 0
DZG
21%
25%
55%
|
84 | 75 | 9 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2025 |
HNS
0 - 4
DZG
18%
24%
58%
|
84 | 71 | 13 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2025 |
DZG
2 - 0
OSI
50%
23%
27%
|
84 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2025 |
IST
3 - 0
DZG
25%
25%
50%
|
84 | 77 | 7 | 0 |