HNK Hajduk Split vs Arsenal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
33.6%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.7%
2-0
5.2%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.6%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.8%
25.1%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25.1%
41.4%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
0-1
8.9%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
21.2%
0-2
6.7%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
12.3%
0-3
3.3%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.3%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
HNK Hajduk Split
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Sep. 1978 |
RAP
2 - 1
HKS
49%
23%
29%
|
82 | 77 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 1978 |
HKS
2 - 0
RAP
69%
16%
15%
|
82 | 77 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 1978 |
HKS
1 - 1
AUS
58%
21%
22%
|
82 | 82 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 1978 |
AUS
1 - 1
HKS
69%
17%
14%
|
82 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 1977 |
HKS
2 - 1
DIO
79%
13%
9%
|
81 | 73 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
Arsenal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Oct. 1978 |
WOL
1 - 0
ARS
36%
27%
37%
|
88 | 82 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 1978 |
ARS
1 - 1
ASV
57%
24%
19%
|
89 | 87 | 2 | -1 |
| 30 Sep. 1978 |
MID
2 - 3
ARS
32%
29%
39%
|
88 | 84 | 4 | +1 |
| 27 Sep. 1978 |
LOK
1 - 4
ARS
50%
25%
25%
|
88 | 85 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 1978 |
ARS
1 - 1
MUD
50%
24%
26%
|
88 | 87 | 1 | 0 |