UCL Quarter-finals
Global 0-3
HNK Hajduk Split vs Ajax analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
37.2%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.2%
2-0
6.2%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.8%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.4%
26.1%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.1%
36.8%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
0-1
9.3%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
20.3%
0-2
6.1%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.7%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.1%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
HNK Hajduk Split
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Feb. 1995 |
MAR
1 - 0
HKS
25%
29%
46%
|
84 | 63 | 21 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 1994 |
OSI
2 - 1
HKS
46%
27%
28%
|
85 | 81 | 4 | -1 |
| 07 Dec. 1994 |
HKS
1 - 4
STB
67%
20%
14%
|
85 | 80 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 1994 |
HKS
7 - 1
NER
88%
9%
3%
|
85 | 49 | 36 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 1994 |
DZG
1 - 0
HKS
57%
23%
20%
|
85 | 85 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Ajax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Feb. 1995 |
FCD
1 - 3
AJA
9%
19%
72%
|
88 | 56 | 32 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 1995 |
AJA
1 - 1
RJC
72%
17%
11%
|
88 | 81 | 7 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 1995 |
AJA
4 - 1
FEY
63%
20%
17%
|
88 | 85 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 1995 |
AJA
3 - 1
NAC
78%
14%
8%
|
88 | 69 | 19 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 1995 |
VIT
2 - 3
AJA
29%
26%
46%
|
88 | 82 | 6 | 0 |