Kunming City vs Lanzhou Longyuan Athletics analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
48.7%
Win probability
1.96
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.4%
3-0
4%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
7.9%
2-0
6.1%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
0.1%
+2
14.7%
1-0
6.2%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
4.4%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21%
21.9%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
6.8%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
21.9%
29.4%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
15.9%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
8.5%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-52%
-16%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
23
3º
9º
3º
33
1º
4º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
3º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
2º
|
35 | 17 |
1º
|
0% | |
|
1º
|
38 | 17 |
2º
|
0% | |
|
|
8º
|
23 | 17 |
3º
|
0% | |
|
|
3º
|
33 | 16 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
23 | 15 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
29 | 13 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
31 | 12 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
33 | 11 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
29 | 9 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
21 | 8 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Kunming City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Oct. 2024 |
BIT
0 - 1
HSF
51%
22%
27%
|
31 | 35 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2024 |
HSF
2 - 1
WCH
39%
23%
38%
|
30 | 37 | 7 | +1 |
| 29 Sep. 2024 |
TTF
3 - 1
HSF
71%
18%
11%
|
30 | 52 | 22 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2024 |
HSF
1 - 2
BIT
44%
23%
33%
|
30 | 35 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2024 |
HSF
2 - 1
XIR
82%
12%
6%
|
30 | 14 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
Lanzhou Longyuan Athletics
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Oct. 2024 |
RZY
3 - 1
SSP
31%
23%
47%
|
31 | 39 | 8 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2024 |
RZY
1 - 0
QYF
50%
22%
28%
|
30 | 28 | 2 | +1 |
| 28 Sep. 2024 |
JIA
2 - 0
RZY
49%
22%
28%
|
31 | 34 | 3 | -1 |
| 22 Sep. 2024 |
GUA
2 - 2
RZY
48%
23%
30%
|
30 | 33 | 3 | +1 |
| 16 Sep. 2024 |
RZY
3 - 1
HSF
40%
23%
38%
|
29 | 32 | 3 | +1 |